3-Day Outlook: Wednesday, July 12-Friday, July 14
Partly cloudy skies start the day with partly sunny skies expected this afternoon. A weak cold front affects the region today with showers likely and a chance for isolated/scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms may produce locally strong wind gusts this afternoon. Loss of daytime heating winds down shower activity in the evening with partly cloudy skies developing overnight as the cold front stalls out over the region. Patchy fog is possible overnight into Thursday. Wednesday’s high reaches the mid-80s with a low Wednesday night into the low 60s. It will be a bit less muggy with dew points dropping into the lower 60s overnight.
Thursday, high pressure briefly builds in, then another disturbance moves across the region producing a chance for some isolated afternoon/evening showers. Dew points will increase later in the day with muggy conditions returning to the St. John Valley. Overnight, mostly cloudy skies with a chance for showers can be expected, especially after midnight. Daytime highs top out in the low 80s with overnight lows in the mid-60s.
Friday, the longwave trough remains to our west with disturbances circulating around a large upper-level low over the Hudson Bay. These disturbances will bring a chance for showers Friday morning then showers likely Friday afternoon with isolated/scattered thunderstorms. Gusty southerly winds are also possible with gusts to 25 mph possible Friday afternoon. Friday night, mostly cloudy skies with showers are likely along with isolated thunderstorms overnight.
Daily Summary
Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 9 p.m, then isolated showers between 9 p.m. and midnight. Patchy fog after midnight. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low around 60. West wind around 6 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30 percent.
Thursday: Patchy fog before 9 a.m. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 83. Calm wind becoming southeast around 6 mph.
Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Southeast wind around 6 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20 percent.
Friday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 3 p.m. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Southeast wind 9 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50 percent. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 9 p.m, then showers likely between 9 p.m and midnight, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after midnight. Patchy fog after 2 a.m. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. South wind 11 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
4- to 7-Day Outlook: Saturday, July 15-Tuesday, July 18
Daily rounds of showers and possibly some afternoon thunderstorms will continue through Monday/Tuesday with mostly cloudy to partly sunny skies over the Valley. A pattern change is hinted at in forecast model trends towards midweek next week when cooler, drier Canadian air may finally push into the region bringing some relief from the showery/humid conditions that have affected the Valley in recent days.
Highs are expected in the low 80s Saturday and Sunday with the mid-80s Monday and Tuesday. Overnight lows dip into the mid-60s for the period.
Daily Summary
Saturday: Showers likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 3 p.m. Areas of fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 83. South wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent.
Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog after 2 a.m. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent.
Sunday: Showers likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3 p.m. Patchy fog between 8 and 9 a.m. High near 81. Chance of precipitation is 80 percent.
Sunday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 9 p.m, then showers likely. Patchy fog between 4 and 5 a.m. Low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 80 percent.
Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Patchy fog. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent.
Monday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent.
Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Patchy fog. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 60 percent.
Tuesday Night: A chance for showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a low near 63. Chance of precipitation is 50 percent.
8- to 14-Day Trends: Wednesday, July 19-Tuesday, July 25
Near normal temperatures / Near normal precipitation
Note: Computer model precision diminishes the further into the week the forecast projects. Check the Fiddlehead Focus for weather updates with more current information.
The Week Ahead is the work of UMFK Professor Joseph E. Becker based on personal weather station data, various computer forecast models, and information that the National Weather Service, NOAA, and other weather resources provide.
