St. John Valley weather for Feb. 21-27, 2024

Joseph E. Becker, Special to The County
9 months ago

3-Day Outlook: Wednesday, Feb. 21-Friday, Feb. 23 

High pressure drifts east of the Valley today with continued sunny skies and warmer temperatures as southerly air is drawn into the region on breezy south winds. Partly cloudy skies are expected tonight into Thursday with lows in the upper teens above zero overnight. 

Partly sunny skies will overspread the Valley Thursday with increasing clouds Thursday night as a frontal system approaches from the west trailing from a low farther north in Canada. Snow is expected to develop Friday night an continue through Saturday, as a low tracks offshore from the Mid-Atlantic. 

With regard to potential snowfall, the National Weather Service in Caribou notes that “anything more than advisory level snowfall [= 4 inches averaged over a forecast zone in 12 hours] would be an outlier solution at this time, and as of now have about 2 to 3 inches of snow for the Friday night period with highest amounts inland and across the eastern zones.”

The Mid-Atlantic low lifts towards Nova Scotia Friday night. Currently, the bulk of this system’s impact looks to remain over New Brunswick, with some precipitation in eastern portions of Maine. Snow continues Friday night into early Saturday.

Apex Wx Daily Summary

Today: Mostly sunny with a high around 30. South wind 10-15 mph gusting to 20-25 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with a low near 18. South wind 5-10 mph. 

Thursday: Partly sunny with a 10 percent chance precipitation. High around 37. South wind 5-10 mph.

Thursday night: Increasing cloudiness with a 60 percent chance for snow after midnight. Low near 23. Southeast wind 5-10 mph. 

Friday: Cloudy with a 80 percent chance for snow. High around 38. South wind 10-15 mph gusting 20-25 mph.

Friday night: Cloudy with a 70 percent chance for snow. Low near 6. West wind increasing to 10-15 mph gusting 25-30 mph.

4- to 7-day Outlook: Saturday, Feb. 24-Tuesday, Feb. 27

High pressure builds across the SJV Sunday. Then, an occluded front moves through later Sunday into Monday with some isolated snow showers early Monday. Mostly cloudy skies overspread the SJV Monday with isolated snow showers as a cold front moves across the region. Isolated snow showers linger overnight into early Tuesday before ending. 

Partly cloudy skies are expected Tuesday with relatively mild temperatures approaching 40 degrees Fahrenheit. A disturbance approaches from the southwest Tuesday night potentially bringing a wintry mix/rain to the Saint John Valley Tuesday night into Wednesday.

Apex Wx Daily Summary

Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance for snow in the morning tapering to snow showers in the afternoon. High around 14. Northwest wind 15-20 mph gusting 30-35 mph.

Saturday night: Partly cloudy with a 5 percent chance for precipitation. Low near -5. West wind 8-14 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy with a 5 percent chance for snow showers. High around 27. Southwest wind 8-14 mph.

Sunday night: Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance for snow showers. Low near 18. South wind 8-14 mph.

Monday: Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance for snow showers, mixing with rain showers in the afternoon. High around 37. Southwest wind 8-14 mph.

Monday night: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance for snow showers. Low near 11. West wind 8-14 mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance for afternoon rain/snow showers. High around 39. South wind 8-14 mph.

Tuesday night: Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance for rain. Low near 28. Southeast wind 8-14 mph.

8- to 14-day Regional Climate Trends: Wednesday, Feb. 28-Monday, Mar. 4 

Above normal temperatures / Above normal precipitation

Note: Computer model precision diminishes the further into the week the forecast projects. Check The County.me or the National Weather Service Caribou, ME at for weather updates with more current information for the Saint John Valley.

The Week Ahead is the work of UMFK Professor Joseph E. Becker based on personal weather station data, various computer forecast models, and information that the National Weather Service, NOAA, and other weather resources provide.